Villanova
W-L: ( 6- 8) PR = 93.0468Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 207 A Penn State B1G ( 9- 5, 99.2) 14-13 214 H St Josephs (PA) Atlantic 10 ( 7- 6, 95.1) 9-11 221 A Rutgers B1G ( 8- 7, 94.1) 7- 8 228 A Delaware CAA ( 5- 8, 89.8) 12- 7 303 A Drexel CAA ( 9- 6, 92.9) 11-10 308 H Penn Ivy ( 7- 6, 95.5) 6-10 314 H Towson CAA (11- 4, 95.3) 11-17 317 A Lehigh Patriot ( 8- 8, 94.7) 7-14 328 A St Johns (NY) Big East ( 2-12, 87.9) 21- 7 404 H Denver Big East ( 6- 8, 94.7) 9- 7 411 H Providence Big East ( 8- 9, 92.5) 9-10 418 A Marquette Big East ( 6- 7, 91.6) 16-15 424 H Georgetown Big East (10- 4, 98.0) 6- 9 430 A Providence Big East ( 8- 9, 92.5) 7-14 o
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
-------------------------------------
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
207 A Penn State 14-13 1 -8 +++ 8.00
214 H St Josephs (PA) 9-11 -2 -1 -1.32
221 A Rutgers 7- 8 -1 -2 1.45
228 A Delaware 12- 7 5 2 + 3.12
303 A Drexel 11-10 1 -1 + 2.24
308 H Penn 6-10 -4 -1 - -2.87
314 H Towson 11-17 -6 -1 -- -5.09
317 A Lehigh 7-14 -7 -3 - -3.94
328 A St Johns (NY) 21- 7 14 4 + 3.18
404 H Denver 9- 7 2 0 + 2.23
411 H Providence 9-10 -1 2 - -2.88
418 A Marquette 16-15 1 0 0.89
424 H Georgetown 6- 9 -3 -4 0.56
430 A Providence 7-14 o -7 -1 --- -6.13
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 430 A Providence 7-14 o -7 -1 --- -6.13 314 H Towson 11-17 -6 -1 -- -5.09 308 H Penn 6-10 -4 -1 - -2.87 317 A Lehigh 7-14 -7 -3 - -3.94 411 H Providence 9-10 -1 2 - -2.88 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 207 A Penn State 14-13 1 -8 +++ 8.00 228 A Delaware 12- 7 5 2 + 3.12 303 A Drexel 11-10 1 -1 + 2.24 328 A St Johns (NY) 21- 7 14 4 + 3.18 404 H Denver 9- 7 2 0 + 2.23 |
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 14.31
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
3 A Penn State ( 9- 5, 99.2) 14-13 -0.67 19.93 1.38 1.02 43.56
3 H St Josephs (PA ( 7- 6, 95.1) 9-11 -4.80 15.80 -1.38 1.02 -3.16
3 A Rutgers ( 8- 7, 94.1) 7- 8 -5.77 14.82 1.38 1.02 -2.25
3 A Delaware ( 5- 8, 89.8) 12- 7 -10.11 10.49 1.38 1.02 24.26
3 A Drexel ( 9- 6, 92.9) 11-10 -6.99 13.61 1.38 1.02 30.63
3 H Penn ( 7- 6, 95.5) 6-10 -4.35 16.25 -1.38 1.02 -2.93
3 H Towson (11- 4, 95.3) 11-17 -4.57 16.03 -1.38 1.02 -3.04
3 A Lehigh ( 8- 8, 94.7) 7-14 -5.16 15.43 1.38 1.02 -1.94
3 A St Johns (NY) ( 2-12, 87.9) 21- 7 -12.05 8.55 1.38 1.02 20.30
3 H Denver ( 6- 8, 94.7) 9- 7 -5.25 15.35 -1.38 1.02 28.58
3 H Providence ( 8- 9, 92.5) 9-10 -7.36 13.24 -1.38 1.02 -4.47
3 A Marquette ( 6- 7, 91.6) 16-15 -8.34 12.26 1.38 1.02 27.88
3 H Georgetown (10- 4, 98.0) 6- 9 -1.92 18.68 -1.38 1.02 -1.68
3 A Providence ( 8- 9, 92.5) 7-14 -7.36 13.24 1.38 1.02 -3.06
------
152.69
|
winning pts = 175.2026 losing points = -22.5152
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------